CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2024-07-09T06:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2024-07-09T06:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/31887/-1
CME Note: A very faint and slow CME in the southeast only seen in the early imagery in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2 (and not seen in C3 because of its faintness). Its source could possibly be the seemingly sympathetic eruptions in Active Region 3738 (S08E26) (accompanied by a C-class flare) and Active Region 3736 (S18W04). The area between these two active region registers a very faint but relatively large-area dimming seen starting after 2024-07-09T05:30Z and centered around S25E20. This dimming could be associated with this faint CME. No apparent arrival signature in solar wind.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-07-13T12:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 89.98 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-07-09T18:01Z
CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Collection Consent Agreement